GROUP A · MATCH 1
South Africa
vMexico
Thursday, June 11, 2026 · 6:00 PM UTC
Estadio Azteca, Mexico City
99 DAYS TO KICKOFF
Odds Comparison
BETMGM
Moneyline
South Africa
+473
17.4% imp
Draw
+318
23.9% imp
Mexico
-142
58.7% imp
Spread
South Africa +1.50 (+106)
Mexico -1.50 (-106)
Total
Over 3.50 (-127)
Under 3.50 (+127)
FANDUEL
Moneyline
South Africa
+475
17.4% imp
Draw
+319
23.9% imp
Mexico
-142
58.7% imp
Spread
South Africa +1.50 (+106)
Mexico -1.50 (-106)
Total
Over 3.50 (-127)
Under 3.50 (+127)
POLYMARKET
Moneyline
South Africa
+469
17.6% imp
Draw
+318
23.9% imp
Mexico
-141
58.5% imp
Spread
South Africa +1.50 (+106)
Mexico -1.50 (-106)
Total
Over 3.50 (-127)
Under 3.50 (+127)
CONSENSUS DERIVED · BASELINE
Moneyline
South Africa
+473
17.5% imp
Draw
+318
23.9% imp
Mexico
-142
58.6% imp
Spread
South Africa +1.50 (+106)
Mexico -1.50 (-106)
Total
3.50 (Over -127 / Under +127)
Market-derived from wc26_odds
Match Intelligence
South Africa vs Mexico World Cup 2026 odds currently imply 17.5% for South Africa, 23.9% for draw, and 58.6% for Mexico. Current bookmaker coverage is active, but no outcome is above the 4% edge threshold right now.
Structural Context
- Competition: FIFA World Cup 2026
- Match status: scheduled
- Bookmakers tracked for this match: BetMGM, FanDuel, Polymarket
Key Numbers
- Mexico implied: 58.6%
- South Africa implied: 17.5%
- Draw implied: 23.9%
- Consensus spread: South Africa +1.50 (+106) · Mexico -1.50 (-106)
- Consensus total: 3.50 (O -127 / U +127)
- Combined vig: 0.0%
- Bookmaker cards rendered: 3
Group A Matches